Saturday, February 28, 2009

Sizemore vs. McLouth

In order to land Sizemore on your team you will need to use a top 1st round draft pick to do so. According to Mock Draft Central's average draft position (ADP), Sizemore is going #6 overall in 5X5 mixed leagues. I really don't think he is worth the pick when you can land Nate McLouth at #59 and the fact that you have to pass on Cabrera and Braun as well to get him. Let's look at last season's numbers and 2009 projections from BaseballHq.com:

2008
Sizemore:
AVG: .268 HR:33 RBI: 90 SB: 38 R:101

McLouth:
AVG: .276 HR:26 RBI: 94 SB: 23 R:113

2009 (Projections from Baseball HQ)
Sizemore:
AVG:
.275 HR:28 RBI: 88 SB: 30 R:103

McLouth:
AVG:
.282 HR:27 RBI: 98 SB: 19 R:102

The only category that Sizemore has an advantage is SBs and they are much easier to fill late in the draft as it a cumulative category unlike batting average which is a ratio over 600 ABs for these guys. I highly suggest that that you skip on Sizemore (who is out of the WBC due to a groin) and go with Cabrera or Braun and target McLouth in the 4-5th round. I am not saying that McLouth will be more valuable or score more total points then Sizemore but in relation to where they are getting drafted, McLouth is the better value. The only warning on McLouth is that his numbers dipped slightly in the 2H after Nady and Bay were traded and some wonder that he has no protection in the line-up. The Pirates have McCutchen, Moss, Pearce, and Pedro Alvarez which could provide some protection for McLouth in the near future.

Other News:
Johan may miss Opening Day with sorness in left elbow

WFAN interview with Mets top Prospect Fernado Martinez

WFAN interview with Mets top pitching prospect Jonathan Neise

Article about Marlins top catching prospect Kyle Skipworth

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